In 2024, the State terminated the tax regime for NHR and created a new regime that remained in force until December of the same year. Despite its aim of relieving the public accounts in terms of personal income tax, tax expenditure on NHR grew by 34% in 2024. As a result, the State recorded losses of €1.741 million.

According to data from the 2024 General State Account, cited by idealista, tax expenditure on personal income tax stood at €2.622 million, up 26.9% compared to the same period last year. The same media outlet reports that the increase is explained by the rise in expenditure on NHR. Consequently, the Portuguese State has recorded its largest tax loss with NHR since 2009, when the regime was introduced.

The document concludes that if NHR paid the IRS rates applied to other taxpayers, with the appropriate progression, an additional €1.741,2 million could have been collected by the State in 2024.

The increase in tax expenditure in the year in which the reduced 20% income tax rate for NHRs was abolished may have several explanations, according to idealista. On the one hand, those who had already joined the scheme will not lose the benefit until the 10-year period to which they are subject has elapsed, even if their salaries have increased. On the other hand, in 2024, the transitional NHR regime was in force for those who could prove that they already had a connection with Portugal until the end of 2023.

Currently, the only tax benefit for those who want to live in Portugal, whether foreign or not, who have not lived in the country for five years and who exercise high value-added professions, is the tax incentive for scientific research and innovation.